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By Noah Ogbi

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  1. Home
  2. ›Defense & National Security

Defense & National Security

No. 9

GPT-5.6 Reviewed: Three Models, Two New Modes, and a Governance First

Jun 27, 2026
AI Research·Noah Ogbi·12 minJun 27

OpenAI shipped GPT-5.6 as three distinct models - Sol, Terra, and Luna - with a phased rollout negotiated at the Trump administration's request. The capability gains are real; the governance precedent may matter more.


No. 8

The AI Boom Runs on One Machine Only ASML Can Build

Jun 25, 2026
AI Policy·Noah Ogbi·9 minJun 25

U.S. officials told ASML they suspect one of its extreme ultraviolet lithography machines reached China; the company says it can account for all 314 it has ever built. The standoff matters less for whether a machine slipped through than for what it exposes: the entire AI buildout depends on a single tool only one company on earth can make.


No. 7

Inside GPT-5.5-Cyber: The Opposite Bet to Anthropic's Fable 5

Jun 22, 2026
AI Research·Noah Ogbi·18 minJun 22

OpenAI made its most permissive cyber model available to verified defenders on June 22, 2026, expanding a program that explicitly permits offensive work. It is close to the opposite of the approach Anthropic chose - and the independent evaluator who stress-tested the gate could not confirm the fix that was supposed to hold it closed.


No. 6

The Off Switch: How Washington Pulled a Frontier Model Offline Without a Law

Jun 22, 2026
AI Policy·Noah Ogbi·8 minJun 22

Ten days after the US Commerce Department used a private export-control letter to pull Anthropic's Fable 5 and Mythos 5 offline worldwide, neither model is back. What began as a jailbreak dispute has become a structural standoff - and the rough outline of an ad hoc licensing regime for frontier AI.


No. 5

Anthropic Shipped an Invisible Safeguard. Both Readings Are True.

Jun 15, 2026
AI Policy·Noah Ogbi·20 minJun 15

Page 13 of Claude Fable 5's 319-page system card disclosed that the model silently degrades its own responses to requests touching frontier AI development, without notifying users. Within hours, researchers cried "secret sabotage." Within 36 hours, Anthropic reversed the invisibility, calling it "the wrong tradeoff." Within 24 hours of that reversal, the U.S. government issued an export control directive suspending all access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5 for foreign nationals worldwide, citing the same national-security rationale Anthropic had introduced just the day before. The honest read was always that both interpretations sit on the same page of the same document. The government's directive proved neither reading was wrong.


No. 4

Before the Executive Order, There Was Glasswing

Jun 6, 2026
Industry·Noah Ogbi·10 minJun 6

On Tuesday the White House signed an executive order defining a federal "covered frontier model" category and creating a voluntary 30-day pre-release window for those models. The same day, Anthropic expanded Project Glasswing to 150 organizations across fifteen countries, built on an unreleased model that has autonomously found thousands of zero-days. Glasswing started April 7. The EO did not create a new regime. It ratified the one Anthropic had been operating for two months.


No. 3

The Pentagon's AI Coalition Has a Problem It Built Itself

May 4, 2026
AI Policy·Noah Ogbi·10 minMay 4

The Pentagon's eight-company AI coalition exists because Anthropic refused to join it. What the May 1 announcement reveals is a strategic predicament of the Defense Department's own making - and a still-active classified dependency on the very vendor it is blacklisting.


No. 2

Speed as Strategy: How AI Rewired the American Kill Chain in Iran

Mar 31, 2026
AI Policy·Noah Ogbi·15 minMar 31

The Maven Smart System, built by Palantir and integrated with Anthropic's Claude, compressed the US targeting cycle from hours to seconds during Operation Epic Fury. Understanding how that pipeline actually works - and what it cannot do - is essential to evaluating the accountability questions the campaign has raised.


No. 1

Anthropic Sues the Pentagon, and the Paradox at the Heart of the Case

Mar 10, 2026
AI Policy·Noah Ogbi·9 minMar 10

Anthropic filed two federal lawsuits on March 9 against the Department of War and more than a dozen other agencies after being designated a "supply chain risk" - a label previously reserved for foreign adversaries. The company's refusal to strip safety guardrails from Claude has set up a constitutional confrontation that cuts to the core of how the U.S. government treats its own AI industry.


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